Race 12B

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Foster 28.1% 24.7% 19.8% 13.9% 7.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Hanson 23.4% 20.7% 17.1% 15.6% 10.0% 7.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Wooldridge 3.9% 3.8% 6.1% 3.9% 9.6% 11.0% 13.2% 12.9% 13.4% 14.5% 7.7%
Peter Bailey 6.3% 6.3% 8.8% 12.5% 12.8% 14.6% 12.9% 12.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.2%
Nicholas Weis 4.1% 6.9% 5.7% 7.3% 11.0% 11.8% 11.2% 14.5% 13.0% 10.4% 4.1%
Mallory Schluter 15.4% 15.6% 15.6% 16.2% 12.8% 9.5% 8.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Margaret Okrasinski 3.7% 3.8% 3.3% 5.1% 6.8% 10.9% 12.4% 13.3% 16.1% 14.4% 10.2%
Hanne Nagatani 9.2% 10.1% 13.6% 14.4% 14.2% 12.0% 11.0% 8.0% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7%
Sierra Marangola 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 6.5% 8.1% 10.9% 19.5% 41.2%
Alex Waldron 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 8.5% 9.5% 12.9% 14.2% 15.5% 14.7% 6.8%
Emma Shaw 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 4.1% 6.8% 7.2% 10.3% 15.7% 18.9% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.