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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nicholas Weis 5.2% 5.8% 5.8% 9.1% 10.1% 12.8% 14.5% 17.3% 11.4% 8.0%
Michael Hanson 22.0% 21.2% 18.0% 14.7% 11.9% 6.0% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
James Foster 30.8% 24.3% 17.3% 14.6% 7.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Hanne Nagatani 9.2% 9.6% 12.3% 14.7% 15.9% 14.1% 10.5% 8.9% 4.1% 0.7%
Sierra Marangola 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 5.8% 6.6% 10.7% 15.0% 50.3%
Margaret Okrasinski 3.9% 3.4% 4.6% 5.0% 6.5% 10.5% 11.8% 15.8% 24.1% 14.4%
Tyler Wooldridge 2.6% 4.3% 5.7% 6.0% 11.1% 11.7% 15.1% 15.9% 17.6% 10.0%
Mallory Schluter 14.7% 16.8% 19.1% 14.5% 13.3% 10.8% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.5%
Peter Bailey 7.0% 8.6% 10.2% 12.0% 12.5% 14.2% 16.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.2%
Alex Waldron 2.9% 3.9% 5.1% 6.6% 8.0% 10.9% 13.1% 15.5% 20.1% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.