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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+1.56vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.49+3.93vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-1.26vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+4.35vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90-2.22vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41+2.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.15+0.80vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.00-2.57vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.39-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.35-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.12-7.87vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of California at Berkeley0.988.8%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.8%1st Place
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4.56University of Southern California1.7116.2%1st Place
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6.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.9%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Irvine0.494.3%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.6014.2%1st Place
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11.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.4%1st Place
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9.63Arizona State University0.743.9%1st Place
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6.78University of Southern California0.908.0%1st Place
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12.23Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
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11.8University of California at San Diego-0.152.1%1st Place
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12.52University of California at San Diego-0.581.8%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Davis0.002.9%1st Place
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12.8Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Berkeley0.353.4%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.7%1st Place
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14.85University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
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10.13University of Hawaii0.123.4%1st Place
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16.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 24.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.