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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.35+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.29-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07+0.77vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.08+3.43vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.89+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.18-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.57-4.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.81-3.71vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.02-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
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2.63University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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4.77University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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8.43California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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7.1Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.93Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Weis | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 22.0% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 30.8% | 24.3% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 50.3% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 24.1% | 14.4% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 14.7% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Bailey | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.