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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+5.88vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.47vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.49+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.35+0.29vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74+0.02vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41+1.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.00-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+1.55vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.15vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.12-6.82vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-5.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88University of Southern California0.908.2%1st Place
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5.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.2011.2%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.5%1st Place
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4.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.6013.6%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Irvine0.494.5%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Berkeley0.9810.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Southern California1.7115.1%1st Place
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12.11University of California at San Diego-0.151.7%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Berkeley0.354.5%1st Place
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10.02Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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12.25Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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12.29University of California at San Diego-0.581.4%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Davis0.002.6%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.6%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.9%1st Place
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14.85University of California at San Diego-1.131.2%1st Place
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10.18University of Hawaii0.123.0%1st Place
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12.64Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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16.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Cornell | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 20.0% | 24.1% |
| Florence Duff | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 19.8% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.