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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.26vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.74+4.39vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.12+2.98vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.09vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.49-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.25+0.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.00-2.67vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41-1.70vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39-2.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of Southern California1.7116.6%1st Place
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6.87University of Southern California0.907.8%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley0.9810.2%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.8%1st Place
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9.39Arizona State University0.743.2%1st Place
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4.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.6015.4%1st Place
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9.98University of Hawaii0.123.8%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.2010.5%1st Place
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10.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.3%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Irvine0.494.9%1st Place
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12.23University of California at San Diego-0.582.4%1st Place
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12.83University of California at Berkeley-0.251.2%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Davis0.002.5%1st Place
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12.3Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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12.31Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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11.67University of California at San Diego-0.151.9%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.3%1st Place
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16.21University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.8%1st Place
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14.75University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.6% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 24.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 38.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.