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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+4.64vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.62+6.69vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.95-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.42+5.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+3.08vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.09+1.53vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+2.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.90+3.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.07+3.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+1.04vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.60-1.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.30+0.75vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.89-1.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.84-2.80vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.19-6.82vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.44-6.67vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.98-5.29vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.4%1st Place
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8.69Unknown School-0.624.9%1st Place
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4.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3513.9%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Davis0.9521.4%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.079.4%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.8215.7%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Irvine-1.422.3%1st Place
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11.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.212.6%1st Place
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10.53Arizona State University-1.092.2%1st Place
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12.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.9%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Berkeley-1.901.6%1st Place
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15.08University of California at San Diego-2.070.7%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.1%1st Place
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12.77Arizona State University-1.602.5%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Irvine-2.300.9%1st Place
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14.3Arizona State University-1.890.8%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Davis-1.840.8%1st Place
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11.18Arizona State University-1.192.5%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.441.8%1st Place
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14.71California State University Channel Islands-1.980.9%1st Place
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12.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kole Kammerer | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 21.4% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.4% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% |
| Erin Welker | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Anna Friess | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 20.2% |
| Tim Crawford | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.