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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.95+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+4.04vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.88vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.62+4.76vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-1.56vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+5.83vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+2.97vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49+3.47vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.42+2.49vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.19+0.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.90+2.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+1.02vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.60-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.44-2.73vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.89-1.87vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-2.54vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.09-7.37vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.84-4.91vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.07-4.99vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.30-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of California at Davis0.9520.9%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.079.3%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3513.1%1st Place
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8.76Unknown School-0.625.0%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.2%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.8216.5%1st Place
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12.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.6%1st Place
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10.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.213.1%1st Place
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12.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.9%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Irvine-1.421.7%1st Place
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11.08Arizona State University-1.192.8%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Berkeley-1.901.1%1st Place
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14.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.5%1st Place
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13.04Arizona State University-1.601.6%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.441.7%1st Place
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14.13Arizona State University-1.891.2%1st Place
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14.46California State University Channel Islands-1.981.3%1st Place
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10.63Arizona State University-1.093.1%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Davis-1.840.9%1st Place
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15.01University of California at San Diego-2.070.9%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Irvine-2.300.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 20.9% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 16.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% |
| Erin Welker | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Anna Friess | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.