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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.38+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+1.05vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.31+2.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.51+4.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.25-0.35vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.66-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+2.15vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+2.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.54-5.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.99-1.83vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.91-2.85vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-3.80vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.90-0.86vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.73-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.6217.6%1st Place
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7.32University of Southern California0.386.5%1st Place
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4.05University of Southern California1.4018.1%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy0.9111.2%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Berkeley0.316.9%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Davis0.075.8%1st Place
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11.23University of California at San Diego-0.512.2%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.255.0%1st Place
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6.5Arizona State University0.668.1%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.6%1st Place
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13.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.2%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles0.547.4%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Irvine-0.363.2%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Berkeley-0.991.5%1st Place
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12.15Arizona State University-0.911.5%1st Place
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14.43University of California at San Diego-1.680.5%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.1%1st Place
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17.14Arizona State University-2.900.3%1st Place
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16.85University of California at San Diego-2.730.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 17.6% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 18.1% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| JT Long | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Sanchita Pant | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 7.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 44.5% |
| Tean Brooks | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 25.9% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.