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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.07+5.79vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+4.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.54+2.76vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.61vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.97vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.51+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.25-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.99+0.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.77vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.54vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.91-2.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.73-0.28vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.90-0.94vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Southern California1.4019.4%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Davis0.075.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Southern California0.386.2%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Los Angeles0.547.2%1st Place
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5.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.9110.7%1st Place
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4.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.6219.4%1st Place
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6.29Arizona State University0.668.2%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Berkeley0.316.3%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.8%1st Place
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11.21University of California at San Diego-0.511.8%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Barbara0.254.5%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Berkeley-0.991.3%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Irvine-0.362.9%1st Place
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13.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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12.24Arizona State University-0.911.4%1st Place
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14.43University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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16.72University of California at San Diego-2.730.3%1st Place
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17.06Arizona State University-2.900.2%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 19.4% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 19.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| JT Long | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 7.3% |
| Tean Brooks | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 24.9% | 36.5% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 21.4% | 44.5% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.