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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.95+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+4.16vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.90vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.57vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+5.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.44+5.32vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.19+3.42vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.62-0.13vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.09+0.77vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+1.56vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.89+2.23vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.98+1.37vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.60-1.01vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-2.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.42-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.84-2.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.07-3.22vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.86-5.01vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-2.30-4.16vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-1.90-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of California at Davis0.9522.1%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.3%1st Place
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4.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3513.0%1st Place
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5.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.2411.2%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.8215.1%1st Place
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11.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.212.6%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.442.2%1st Place
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11.42Arizona State University-1.192.9%1st Place
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8.87Unknown School-0.624.1%1st Place
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10.77Arizona State University-1.092.5%1st Place
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12.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.572.1%1st Place
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14.23Arizona State University-1.891.2%1st Place
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14.37California State University Channel Islands-1.981.5%1st Place
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12.99Arizona State University-1.601.7%1st Place
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12.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.8%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Irvine-1.421.9%1st Place
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14.02University of California at Davis-1.841.1%1st Place
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14.78University of California at San Diego-2.071.1%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.4%1st Place
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15.84University of California at Irvine-2.301.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Berkeley-1.901.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 22.1% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% |
| Erin Welker | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| Anna Friess | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 20.4% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.