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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+5.80vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.31+4.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.51+7.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.54+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+1.81vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-2.84vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.40+0.82vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.66-4.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-0.63vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.91-2.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.54vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-3.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.73-1.25vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.90-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8University of California at Santa Barbara0.577.5%1st Place
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4.12University of Southern California1.4017.8%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Berkeley0.316.2%1st Place
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11.43University of California at San Diego-0.512.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles0.547.4%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Davis0.075.6%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.6218.1%1st Place
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5.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.9110.9%1st Place
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7.56University of Southern California0.385.5%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Berkeley-0.402.8%1st Place
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6.75Arizona State University0.667.6%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.4%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Irvine-0.362.3%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.9%1st Place
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12.23Arizona State University-0.911.6%1st Place
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14.46University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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13.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.9%1st Place
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16.75University of California at San Diego-2.730.2%1st Place
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17.19Arizona State University-2.900.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Erisman | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 17.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sanchita Pant | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 18.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 7.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Tean Brooks | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 24.9% | 35.4% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 23.3% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.