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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.95+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+4.18vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.78vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.44vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.62+2.69vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+5.68vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+3.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.44+3.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.90+4.24vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.09-0.32vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.89+2.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.42-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+0.12vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.60-2.14vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.19-4.97vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-4.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.07-3.22vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.84-4.97vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.98-5.25vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.30-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of California at Davis0.9523.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.6%1st Place
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4.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3513.7%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.8%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.8214.8%1st Place
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8.69Unknown School-0.624.2%1st Place
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12.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
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11.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.212.1%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.442.4%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Berkeley-1.901.6%1st Place
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10.68Arizona State University-1.093.0%1st Place
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14.42Arizona State University-1.890.9%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Irvine-1.422.4%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.6%1st Place
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12.86Arizona State University-1.601.5%1st Place
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11.03Arizona State University-1.192.5%1st Place
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12.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.5%1st Place
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14.78University of California at San Diego-2.071.4%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Davis-1.841.2%1st Place
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14.75California State University Channel Islands-1.981.1%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Irvine-2.301.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 23.1% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Bodhi Silberling | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Camden Wacha | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Tim Crawford | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Erin Welker | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% |
| Anna Friess | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.