Race 1A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Kennady 13.8% 15.9% 15.5% 13.0% 12.9% 11.9% 7.5% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 37.7% 23.5% 16.9% 12.0% 5.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 7.4% 7.3% 9.9% 13.5% 17.3% 18.5% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 3.2% 5.6% 5.2% 8.0% 10.8% 10.7% 14.3% 17.1% 16.2% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 8.1% 9.1% 10.9% 11.0% 12.6% 14.3% 14.1% 11.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 3.2% 5.6% 5.2% 8.0% 10.8% 10.7% 14.3% 17.1% 16.2% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 12.5% 14.4% 15.5% 14.2% 13.8% 11.4% 10.3% 4.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 5.8% 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 14.0% 14.9% 12.2% 11.8% 7.3% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 7.4% 7.3% 9.9% 13.5% 17.3% 18.5% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 11.0% 13.6% 13.0% 16.0% 13.5% 13.4% 9.2% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 8.1% 9.1% 10.9% 11.0% 12.6% 14.3% 14.1% 11.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.8% 1.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 7.8% 11.7% 21.2% 41.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 5.5% 6.9% 9.4% 14.1% 22.0% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.