Race 2A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Coleman Terrell 13.7% 15.0% 15.0% 14.1% 12.3% 10.9% 9.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 36.4% 25.2% 17.5% 9.7% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 12.0% 16.2% 13.8% 11.7% 8.4% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 3.3% 5.0% 5.8% 9.6% 9.3% 11.9% 13.2% 16.8% 15.6% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 13.3% 15.3% 15.6% 15.6% 14.5% 10.4% 7.2% 5.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 11.7% 14.2% 12.6% 14.7% 14.1% 10.7% 10.8% 7.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 2.9% 4.3% 6.1% 7.5% 9.6% 9.4% 15.3% 15.8% 18.2% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 7.4% 8.9% 11.1% 11.2% 13.1% 15.7% 11.9% 10.7% 7.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 12.0% 16.2% 13.8% 11.7% 8.4% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 2.9% 4.3% 6.1% 7.5% 9.6% 9.4% 15.3% 15.8% 18.2% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 2.2% 1.8% 3.9% 4.3% 4.6% 6.6% 9.5% 13.5% 24.7% 28.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 3.3% 5.0% 5.8% 9.6% 9.3% 11.9% 13.2% 16.8% 15.6% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.3% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 7.6% 12.8% 18.4% 42.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.