Race 3A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Atwood 38.6% 24.4% 15.0% 9.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 11.5% 14.5% 16.1% 12.7% 14.9% 11.6% 9.4% 6.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.1% 4.9% 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 10.6% 13.5% 19.4% 15.8% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 11.9% 15.6% 16.4% 15.3% 12.9% 12.3% 7.4% 5.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 9.0% 8.2% 9.3% 12.9% 12.6% 14.2% 13.9% 10.3% 7.4% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 9.0% 8.2% 9.3% 12.9% 12.6% 14.2% 13.9% 10.3% 7.4% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 4.3% 5.7% 5.2% 6.3% 9.9% 10.2% 13.5% 15.5% 16.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 4.3% 5.7% 5.2% 6.3% 9.9% 10.2% 13.5% 15.5% 16.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 9.8% 13.5% 14.8% 14.4% 14.7% 12.5% 8.8% 6.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 5.1% 4.8% 7.0% 10.2% 14.0% 24.0% 26.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 7.1% 9.1% 9.7% 12.8% 12.6% 13.2% 13.8% 11.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.1% 4.9% 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 10.6% 13.5% 19.4% 15.8% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 7.7% 10.0% 20.5% 43.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.