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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.95+2.79vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+3.35vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.61vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.62+3.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+3.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.44+3.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.84+4.26vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.19+0.41vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49+1.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+1.64vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.09-2.94vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.89-0.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.07-0.76vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.42-4.47vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.98-2.98vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-5.82vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-2.30-4.13vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.60-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of California at Davis0.9522.2%1st Place
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5.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3511.2%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.6%1st Place
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6.02California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.9%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley-0.226.6%1st Place
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9.0Unknown School-0.624.5%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.8214.8%1st Place
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11.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.212.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.441.8%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Davis-1.841.7%1st Place
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11.41Arizona State University-1.192.2%1st Place
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13.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.1%1st Place
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14.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.3%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University-1.093.0%1st Place
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14.5Arizona State University-1.890.9%1st Place
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15.24University of California at San Diego-2.070.6%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Irvine-1.421.7%1st Place
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15.02California State University Channel Islands-1.981.2%1st Place
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13.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.6%1st Place
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15.87University of California at Irvine-2.300.9%1st Place
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13.26Arizona State University-1.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Wondolleck | 22.2% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danicka Sailer | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Tim Crawford | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Anna Friess | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 20.2% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.