Race 4A

2012-hlk

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Atwood 37.0% 25.7% 16.6% 10.1% 5.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 5.6% 4.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.3% 10.7% 15.1% 15.3% 16.9% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 7.7% 8.9% 8.9% 11.4% 14.1% 14.1% 13.2% 11.8% 6.9% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 9.9% 13.8% 14.0% 15.2% 13.6% 12.9% 8.7% 7.6% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 8.5% 8.5% 11.8% 9.6% 11.9% 14.3% 14.2% 12.8% 6.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 12.5% 13.7% 15.1% 16.7% 13.2% 10.9% 8.4% 6.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 7.7% 8.9% 8.9% 11.4% 14.1% 14.1% 13.2% 11.8% 6.9% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.0% 4.6% 5.4% 7.1% 9.3% 11.6% 14.5% 16.0% 17.4% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 12.6% 15.7% 14.7% 16.1% 14.8% 9.9% 8.0% 5.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 5.6% 4.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.3% 10.7% 15.1% 15.3% 16.9% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.4% 1.8% 3.1% 2.5% 4.1% 5.8% 7.3% 11.5% 20.3% 42.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 1.8% 3.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.0% 7.3% 9.2% 13.0% 23.9% 28.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.0% 4.6% 5.4% 7.1% 9.3% 11.6% 14.5% 16.0% 17.4% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.