Race 5A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Kennady 14.8% 15.2% 14.1% 15.1% 12.6% 11.5% 7.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 37.5% 24.4% 16.2% 11.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 7.2% 7.9% 11.0% 10.6% 12.9% 13.8% 14.8% 11.6% 8.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 6.1% 8.9% 11.5% 13.1% 11.7% 15.4% 12.6% 10.1% 8.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 4.5% 5.4% 5.1% 6.3% 10.1% 9.4% 13.5% 16.8% 17.4% 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 9.0% 10.2% 16.4% 13.6% 17.5% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 11.3% 14.4% 15.1% 14.9% 14.9% 12.1% 8.0% 6.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 6.1% 8.9% 11.5% 13.1% 11.7% 15.4% 12.6% 10.1% 8.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 9.0% 10.2% 16.4% 13.6% 17.5% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 1.9% 2.2% 4.8% 3.6% 5.5% 7.5% 9.1% 15.3% 22.2% 27.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.8% 1.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.5% 5.4% 6.7% 13.0% 18.2% 44.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 4.5% 5.4% 5.1% 6.3% 10.1% 9.4% 13.5% 16.8% 17.4% 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 10.1% 14.3% 12.8% 14.8% 13.5% 11.8% 10.2% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.