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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.02vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.95+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+1.43vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.89+8.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.07+8.23vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.62+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.44+3.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.42+2.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.22-3.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+2.44vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.19-1.42vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-1.10vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.14vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09-4.99vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.84-2.58vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-6.40vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.60-5.72vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-6.81vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.30-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3513.3%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy0.2410.2%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Davis0.9520.2%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.8215.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.8%1st Place
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14.43Arizona State University-1.891.9%1st Place
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15.23University of California at San Diego-2.070.8%1st Place
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9.14Unknown School-0.623.8%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.441.5%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Irvine-1.421.9%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Berkeley-0.226.5%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.1%1st Place
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11.58Arizona State University-1.192.5%1st Place
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12.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.7%1st Place
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14.86California State University Channel Islands-1.981.3%1st Place
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11.01Arizona State University-1.092.4%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-1.841.1%1st Place
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11.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.212.0%1st Place
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13.28Arizona State University-1.601.9%1st Place
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13.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.5%1st Place
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16.18University of California at Irvine-2.300.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kole Kammerer | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 20.2% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 15.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Danicka Sailer | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Erin Welker | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Anna Friess | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.