Race 6A

2012-hlk

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Atwood 37.3% 26.4% 15.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 8.4% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 12.3% 15.9% 14.6% 9.4% 7.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 12.5% 14.2% 15.3% 16.1% 13.1% 11.6% 9.7% 5.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.2% 4.4% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.9% 15.3% 16.4% 17.0% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 13.8% 14.3% 14.2% 14.2% 15.6% 11.4% 7.7% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 9.5% 12.6% 11.1% 18.1% 15.2% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 9.5% 12.6% 11.1% 18.1% 15.2% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.0% 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 7.9% 11.8% 21.1% 42.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 6.5% 9.9% 13.0% 9.4% 15.3% 12.1% 12.6% 10.6% 7.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.2% 4.4% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.9% 15.3% 16.4% 17.0% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 8.4% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 12.3% 15.9% 14.6% 9.4% 7.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 1.9% 1.9% 3.9% 5.1% 5.1% 6.3% 9.9% 14.8% 22.4% 28.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 10.5% 13.0% 13.5% 16.4% 11.7% 12.6% 9.1% 8.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.