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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.31+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+4.32vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+4.61vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40-0.95vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.66+0.38vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.51+3.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.63+4.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+0.97vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.58+2.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.05+2.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.61+0.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.99-2.86vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.91-3.93vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.90+0.25vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.36-7.75vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-12.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.6220.2%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Berkeley0.315.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Southern California0.386.5%1st Place
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8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.274.8%1st Place
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4.05University of Southern California1.4018.5%1st Place
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6.38Arizona State University0.668.3%1st Place
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5.33California Poly Maritime Academy0.9111.8%1st Place
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11.18University of California at San Diego-0.511.5%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Davis0.076.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.630.6%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.6%1st Place
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14.17University of California at San Diego-1.581.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at San Diego-2.050.4%1st Place
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14.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.611.2%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Berkeley-0.991.3%1st Place
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12.07Arizona State University-0.911.3%1st Place
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17.25Arizona State University-2.900.1%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.577.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 20.2% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 18.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Bella Valente | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 8.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 17.1% |
| John Flanagan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 8.5% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 52.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Erisman | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.