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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.95+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+3.47vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.09+7.04vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.24+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.44+4.67vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.19+2.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+4.32vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.62-1.82vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-0.36vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.98+2.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.42-1.68vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-1.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.84-1.68vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.89-2.67vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-4.82vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.07-3.74vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.60-6.50vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.30-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3512.7%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Davis0.9520.5%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.8%1st Place
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11.04Arizona State University-1.092.6%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy0.249.2%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.8213.4%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Berkeley-0.226.2%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.441.9%1st Place
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11.39Arizona State University-1.192.6%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.4%1st Place
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9.18Unknown School-0.624.8%1st Place
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11.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.212.5%1st Place
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15.15California State University Channel Islands-1.981.1%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Irvine-1.422.5%1st Place
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13.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.491.7%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Davis-1.841.5%1st Place
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14.33Arizona State University-1.891.7%1st Place
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13.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.2%1st Place
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15.26University of California at San Diego-2.071.4%1st Place
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13.5Arizona State University-1.601.2%1st Place
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16.13University of California at Irvine-2.300.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 20.5% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Kole Kammerer | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danicka Sailer | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Suiter Holmes | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Kieran Lynch | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.2% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Anna Friess | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.