Race 7A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Travis Conger 4.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.7% 14.1% 15.6% 17.2% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 11.8% 14.0% 16.7% 14.1% 14.7% 10.3% 7.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 12.8% 14.1% 13.6% 15.9% 14.1% 12.6% 9.4% 4.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 6.9% 8.6% 11.7% 11.9% 12.3% 14.8% 12.9% 10.6% 7.8% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 38.2% 26.1% 15.6% 9.8% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 12.9% 11.4% 13.9% 13.9% 13.5% 12.1% 11.0% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 5.8% 9.7% 10.4% 12.6% 11.6% 14.6% 14.0% 11.5% 7.6% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.4% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 9.2% 9.8% 13.9% 17.8% 15.7% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.4% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 9.2% 9.8% 13.9% 17.8% 15.7% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 6.9% 8.6% 11.7% 11.9% 12.3% 14.8% 12.9% 10.6% 7.8% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.7% 14.1% 15.6% 17.2% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.6% 6.1% 6.9% 10.5% 21.5% 42.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 4.5% 5.9% 7.2% 8.9% 14.4% 21.7% 29.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.