Race 8A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Kennady 14.3% 15.4% 17.2% 11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Atwood 36.9% 23.5% 17.6% 11.8% 6.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 12.2% 11.3% 15.2% 15.4% 10.6% 7.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 14.7% 16.7% 17.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 11.9% 12.4% 13.6% 15.4% 14.1% 11.9% 9.4% 6.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 12.2% 11.3% 15.2% 15.4% 10.6% 7.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 3.7% 5.0% 6.4% 12.4% 19.0% 42.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 5.8% 9.9% 11.1% 10.7% 12.9% 15.3% 12.4% 11.4% 7.4% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 12.4% 16.1% 13.3% 15.4% 15.7% 10.9% 7.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.4% 4.4% 7.6% 7.1% 8.5% 11.5% 15.4% 16.6% 16.4% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 14.7% 16.7% 17.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 4.4% 4.4% 7.6% 7.1% 8.5% 11.5% 15.4% 16.6% 16.4% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 6.4% 6.8% 9.1% 13.9% 22.9% 29.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.