Race 1A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leo Marek 9.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 10.8% 11.3% 11.2% 9.8% 8.9% 6.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Hanna Progelhof 15.6% 16.1% 14.3% 13.2% 10.8% 10.1% 8.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Nicholas Carew 19.1% 14.8% 14.6% 13.0% 10.3% 10.0% 7.5% 5.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Ryan Ingram 14.4% 13.8% 12.7% 13.5% 11.9% 11.3% 9.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Jacob Granberry 9.9% 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 11.1% 10.9% 10.4% 10.2% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Zachary Aronson 9.4% 10.2% 10.7% 11.0% 11.7% 10.4% 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 5.6% 2.4% 0.9%
Taylor Snyder 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 11.7% 10.9% 10.9% 10.6% 9.9% 8.2% 5.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Valor Adair 2.8% 3.6% 4.9% 4.6% 5.4% 6.2% 8.4% 10.7% 11.7% 16.1% 14.6% 11.1%
Neftali Guerrero 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.6% 5.6% 6.3% 7.8% 11.8% 13.2% 14.2% 14.8% 10.2%
Katy Heaney 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 7.8% 12.4% 15.0% 20.9% 18.1%
Beau Lauffer 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.4% 10.5% 15.4% 18.8% 20.6%
Kegan Reynolds 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 5.2% 5.1% 8.2% 12.2% 18.5% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.