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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.25+3.33vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77+1.24vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.27+1.24vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-0.89vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.64-1.57vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University1.27-1.76vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.61-1.30vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.70-2.59vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.61-3.30vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.70-4.59vs Predicted
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12Rice University-0.29-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-0.02-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
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5.33University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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4.24Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.1%1st Place
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5.24Texas A&M University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.1%1st Place
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4.43Tulane University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.24Texas A&M University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.7Texas A&M University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.41Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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6.7Texas A&M University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.41Texas A&M University0.700.0%1st Place
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8.3Rice University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Atwood | 38.1% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Terrell | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bethancourt | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bethancourt | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 22.4% | 41.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 31.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.