Race 10A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Atwood 37.4% 26.0% 16.6% 8.7% 5.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 8.5% 8.0% 10.6% 12.5% 13.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.7% 8.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 7.4% 9.0% 9.0% 9.8% 13.0% 13.5% 15.9% 12.1% 8.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 2.9% 4.5% 6.0% 8.8% 8.7% 10.3% 13.5% 17.6% 16.6% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 13.2% 14.8% 13.6% 16.0% 14.8% 11.8% 7.7% 5.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 13.2% 14.5% 16.6% 14.3% 14.2% 11.2% 8.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 3.7% 4.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.9% 14.5% 16.0% 16.6% 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 8.5% 8.0% 10.6% 12.5% 13.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.7% 8.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 10.9% 14.3% 13.1% 16.5% 12.8% 12.9% 8.4% 6.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 3.3% 5.5% 7.1% 8.8% 14.1% 23.9% 29.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.2% 1.9% 3.5% 2.3% 3.7% 5.5% 8.8% 11.1% 18.9% 43.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chelsea Bethancourt 2.9% 4.5% 6.0% 8.8% 8.7% 10.3% 13.5% 17.6% 16.6% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 3.7% 4.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.9% 14.5% 16.0% 16.6% 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.