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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.10+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Kansas-1.32+6.04vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+1.03vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.26+1.37vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20+0.37vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.20-1.86vs Predicted
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7Rice University-0.32-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas-0.15-2.65vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-1.30-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Oklahoma-1.71-1.06vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University-1.64-2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Oklahoma-2.14-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Texas A&M University0.1014.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Kansas-1.323.0%1st Place
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4.03Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3018.0%1st Place
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5.37Texas A&M University-0.269.5%1st Place
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5.37Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.209.7%1st Place
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4.14Texas A&M University0.2017.1%1st Place
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5.57Rice University-0.329.2%1st Place
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5.35University of North Texas-0.158.9%1st Place
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8.11Texas A&M University-1.303.6%1st Place
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8.94University of Oklahoma-1.712.9%1st Place
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8.81Texas A&M University-1.642.4%1st Place
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9.82University of Oklahoma-2.141.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ingram | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Valor Adair | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 10.4% |
| Nicholas Carew | 18.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Aronson | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Granberry | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 17.1% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Leo Marek | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Snyder | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Neftali Guerrero | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 10.3% |
| Beau Lauffer | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| Katy Heaney | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| Kegan Reynolds | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.