Race 11A

2012-hlk

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Atwood 45.9% 26.4% 15.1% 7.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 9.1% 11.6% 14.4% 16.1% 20.1% 14.5% 10.3% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 13.2% 16.6% 18.6% 17.1% 16.4% 11.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 14.7% 19.7% 17.1% 19.1% 15.1% 9.4% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 7.9% 11.9% 16.4% 15.1% 17.4% 18.2% 10.0% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 9.1% 11.6% 14.4% 16.1% 20.1% 14.5% 10.3% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 5.2% 5.9% 10.6% 13.5% 14.6% 18.2% 19.8% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 5.2% 5.9% 10.6% 13.5% 14.6% 18.2% 19.8% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 7.2% 7.5% 14.2% 26.5% 34.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 5.9% 13.1% 23.7% 44.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.