Race 3A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 16.0% 14.1% 14.9% 12.0% 12.3% 9.0% 8.7% 5.9% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Nicholas Carew 17.3% 15.2% 13.0% 13.8% 11.9% 9.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jacob Granberry 10.5% 10.6% 10.9% 10.4% 11.3% 10.7% 11.3% 8.6% 7.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
Leo Marek 9.0% 9.2% 9.5% 10.3% 11.5% 10.1% 10.8% 11.6% 8.8% 5.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Taylor Snyder 9.8% 10.1% 11.5% 10.6% 10.7% 12.2% 10.1% 8.9% 7.7% 4.5% 3.1% 0.7%
Zachary Aronson 9.5% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 11.2% 9.6% 8.0% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9%
Valor Adair 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 7.5% 11.3% 14.8% 15.0% 16.3% 10.1%
Ryan Ingram 14.6% 14.8% 12.1% 13.6% 11.3% 11.6% 8.1% 6.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Katy Heaney 3.1% 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 3.6% 4.9% 6.2% 7.8% 11.1% 15.1% 18.3% 19.4%
Beau Lauffer 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 5.6% 5.3% 7.7% 11.1% 16.1% 19.4% 21.0%
Neftali Guerrero 3.9% 4.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.6% 8.9% 11.8% 15.6% 14.6% 11.1%
Kegan Reynolds 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 6.8% 8.1% 13.8% 18.1% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.