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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Atwood 44.7% 28.6% 13.7% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 9.9% 9.8% 15.2% 16.1% 18.8% 15.9% 11.0% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Walden 9.2% 12.4% 12.9% 17.2% 17.4% 17.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 5.1% 6.2% 10.7% 11.6% 14.1% 20.3% 20.3% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 12.0% 16.9% 21.2% 16.3% 15.9% 11.6% 4.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 14.7% 19.5% 19.7% 18.5% 13.3% 9.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Long 9.9% 9.8% 15.2% 16.1% 18.8% 15.9% 11.0% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 7.7% 9.6% 12.0% 26.5% 34.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas 1.3% 3.1% 3.3% 4.8% 7.2% 12.4% 23.3% 44.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 5.1% 6.2% 10.7% 11.6% 14.1% 20.3% 20.3% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.