Race 4A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 14.2% 15.7% 14.2% 13.0% 12.3% 10.0% 8.6% 6.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Leo Marek 9.8% 8.9% 11.1% 9.5% 10.2% 11.3% 10.9% 10.8% 8.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Valor Adair 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.1% 6.7% 8.6% 9.8% 13.7% 15.1% 15.0% 11.1%
Nicholas Carew 17.2% 15.8% 14.3% 12.3% 10.8% 8.8% 8.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Zachary Aronson 10.2% 9.8% 10.9% 10.3% 11.4% 11.0% 9.2% 9.7% 8.6% 5.1% 3.0% 0.8%
Jacob Granberry 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 11.1% 12.3% 10.8% 10.2% 10.4% 7.3% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9%
Ryan Ingram 15.3% 15.3% 12.2% 13.9% 11.8% 9.9% 7.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Neftali Guerrero 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.6% 7.4% 10.4% 13.1% 14.8% 15.3% 9.4%
Katy Heaney 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 6.5% 8.4% 11.3% 16.2% 18.6% 18.6%
Taylor Snyder 10.9% 9.8% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 11.1% 11.4% 8.8% 7.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Beau Lauffer 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.1% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 9.9% 15.6% 19.1% 21.3%
Kegan Reynolds 0.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 6.2% 8.6% 11.1% 19.2% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.