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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+1.02vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.27+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+1.31vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.70+1.24vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.64-1.32vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-2.54vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University1.27-2.68vs Predicted
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8University of Texas0.04-1.69vs Predicted
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9Rice University-0.29-2.33vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.70-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
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4.32Texas A&M University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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5.24Texas A&M University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.68Tulane University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.46Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.1%1st Place
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4.32Texas A&M University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Texas0.040.0%1st Place
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6.67Rice University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.24Texas A&M University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Atwood | 44.7% | 28.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 9.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 12.0% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Terrell | 14.7% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 9.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Lenz | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 26.5% | 34.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin-de-Nicolas | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 23.3% | 44.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.