Race 5A

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 16.1% 14.1% 14.0% 14.2% 11.2% 9.7% 8.5% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 9.6% 10.4% 11.1% 11.9% 11.4% 10.7% 10.4% 9.7% 6.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7%
Jacob Granberry 10.2% 9.7% 11.3% 8.8% 11.0% 12.2% 9.3% 11.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.8% 0.8%
Zachary Aronson 9.8% 10.4% 9.4% 10.8% 12.0% 9.8% 11.9% 8.8% 8.5% 5.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Leo Marek 9.6% 9.2% 9.2% 10.8% 11.2% 10.8% 11.7% 9.5% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Ryan Ingram 13.4% 13.4% 14.2% 13.2% 11.6% 10.3% 9.8% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Katy Heaney 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 5.6% 8.6% 10.6% 14.9% 20.0% 19.9%
Beau Lauffer 3.1% 2.7% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.9% 5.5% 7.6% 11.1% 15.3% 18.1% 22.1%
Nicholas Carew 18.4% 16.7% 15.0% 12.3% 11.0% 8.6% 7.3% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Valor Adair 2.5% 3.5% 3.9% 4.4% 5.5% 6.5% 7.2% 10.5% 14.5% 15.6% 15.4% 10.4%
Kegan Reynolds 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 6.1% 8.8% 11.8% 18.4% 35.6%
Neftali Guerrero 3.1% 4.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 8.2% 8.8% 10.3% 12.7% 15.4% 14.9% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.