← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Carew 17.1% 16.4% 15.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.5% 7.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Hanna Progelhof 15.1% 14.8% 13.1% 13.8% 11.4% 11.9% 7.8% 5.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Neftali Guerrero 3.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.1% 5.0% 5.8% 9.4% 10.1% 12.8% 15.2% 15.4% 10.5%
Taylor Snyder 9.7% 9.6% 11.0% 10.4% 11.3% 10.4% 10.9% 9.6% 8.4% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Ryan Ingram 16.1% 13.0% 13.8% 12.8% 10.5% 10.5% 9.0% 6.3% 4.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jacob Granberry 9.1% 10.7% 9.4% 11.7% 11.2% 10.4% 11.7% 9.6% 8.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Zachary Aronson 9.9% 11.2% 11.1% 10.8% 10.3% 10.5% 10.3% 10.1% 7.8% 4.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Leo Marek 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 12.4% 10.4% 11.1% 10.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8%
Valor Adair 3.6% 3.9% 3.5% 6.0% 5.3% 5.7% 7.3% 10.8% 13.1% 14.4% 15.8% 10.4%
Beau Lauffer 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 8.1% 9.4% 16.4% 19.9% 20.8%
Katy Heaney 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 5.7% 8.2% 11.8% 13.2% 18.9% 18.9%
Kegan Reynolds 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.9% 4.0% 5.7% 8.0% 13.9% 18.4% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.