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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.20+3.28vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas-0.15+2.42vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.32+1.46vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20+0.28vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-1.30+2.07vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.26-1.58vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.10-3.56vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-1.64-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Oklahoma-1.71-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Kansas-1.32-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of Oklahoma-2.14-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Texas A&M University0.2015.2%1st Place
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4.09Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3016.6%1st Place
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5.42University of North Texas-0.159.1%1st Place
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5.46Rice University-0.329.8%1st Place
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5.28Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.2011.0%1st Place
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8.07Texas A&M University-1.303.5%1st Place
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5.42Texas A&M University-0.2610.4%1st Place
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4.44Texas A&M University0.1015.2%1st Place
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8.87Texas A&M University-1.642.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Oklahoma-1.712.2%1st Place
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8.07University of Kansas-1.323.5%1st Place
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9.7University of Oklahoma-2.141.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Hanna Progelhof | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Carew | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Taylor Snyder | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Leo Marek | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Jacob Granberry | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Neftali Guerrero | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
Zachary Aronson | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Ryan Ingram | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Katy Heaney | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
Beau Lauffer | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 20.5% |
Valor Adair | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
Kegan Reynolds | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.