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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Progelhof 15.2% 14.0% 13.8% 14.4% 11.9% 10.8% 8.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Nicholas Carew 16.6% 15.1% 15.1% 14.8% 10.5% 9.3% 8.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Taylor Snyder 9.1% 10.9% 10.2% 10.3% 10.0% 11.7% 11.6% 10.7% 6.9% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9%
Leo Marek 9.8% 10.6% 10.7% 9.9% 9.6% 11.1% 9.8% 10.4% 8.5% 6.2% 2.5% 0.9%
Jacob Granberry 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.3% 10.9% 9.1% 10.9% 10.0% 8.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.7%
Neftali Guerrero 3.5% 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 7.4% 10.2% 11.6% 15.2% 16.0% 11.2%
Zachary Aronson 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 11.5% 11.9% 10.8% 8.8% 8.3% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8%
Ryan Ingram 15.2% 13.6% 13.2% 12.2% 13.0% 9.0% 8.6% 6.9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Katy Heaney 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 7.8% 12.8% 15.5% 18.7% 18.7%
Beau Lauffer 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.8% 6.2% 8.1% 10.9% 14.3% 19.2% 20.5%
Valor Adair 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 7.3% 10.7% 12.4% 15.5% 14.6% 10.8%
Kegan Reynolds 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 5.5% 8.9% 11.9% 19.2% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.