Race 1B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Broberg 10.5% 11.5% 13.1% 14.2% 13.7% 11.6% 8.5% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Sydney Krahulik 17.0% 18.3% 16.0% 14.2% 12.2% 8.7% 7.0% 3.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Arthur Unger 7.6% 9.2% 8.5% 10.5% 12.0% 11.9% 10.5% 10.8% 8.5% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Timothy Verriere 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.4% 6.8% 8.4% 11.0% 13.2% 16.7% 24.0%
Robert Scheer 7.0% 8.8% 10.3% 10.5% 10.8% 11.7% 11.8% 9.7% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 0.9%
Brett Pearson 36.9% 25.2% 18.4% 9.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Dunning 4.8% 6.6% 8.9% 9.1% 10.6% 11.5% 10.6% 11.1% 11.0% 8.1% 5.2% 2.5%
Gretchen March 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 5.6% 7.6% 9.2% 13.8% 17.2% 29.1%
Jack Meyer 3.1% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.8% 7.0% 9.7% 11.5% 11.7% 13.7% 14.1% 8.6%
Eduardo Gomez 5.9% 7.6% 7.0% 9.3% 10.1% 12.1% 10.6% 10.4% 11.2% 7.5% 5.9% 2.4%
Ian Casteel 1.9% 2.3% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.3% 9.2% 9.3% 11.1% 15.0% 16.1% 15.4%
Caidan Stecklein 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 6.5% 8.9% 9.6% 9.7% 13.2% 16.7% 15.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.