Race 2B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arthur Unger 7.7% 8.0% 8.3% 11.1% 11.5% 12.1% 10.9% 10.4% 7.3% 7.4% 4.0% 1.3%
Brett Pearson 37.1% 26.9% 18.1% 9.2% 4.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 10.3% 12.2% 13.4% 13.9% 12.7% 11.2% 9.6% 6.5% 5.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Timothy Verriere 1.7% 2.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.6% 5.5% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 13.1% 17.2% 22.4%
Robert Scheer 7.1% 7.9% 10.1% 11.0% 11.6% 11.9% 11.5% 10.3% 9.2% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
Sydney Krahulik 16.0% 18.4% 17.7% 15.3% 12.7% 8.8% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Meyer 3.4% 3.7% 4.7% 5.5% 6.2% 8.2% 10.1% 11.7% 12.2% 13.0% 12.3% 9.1%
Joseph Dunning 6.2% 7.2% 8.1% 10.3% 10.7% 10.1% 10.9% 11.7% 10.5% 7.4% 5.0% 2.0%
Eduardo Gomez 4.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 11.2% 11.5% 11.8% 10.8% 10.2% 8.5% 5.9% 3.4%
Gretchen March 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 5.6% 7.7% 9.3% 12.7% 17.7% 28.5%
Caidan Stecklein 2.2% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 8.5% 11.9% 14.2% 17.9% 16.1%
Ian Casteel 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 11.3% 14.8% 15.9% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.