Race 3B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brett Pearson 39.2% 26.8% 15.7% 9.9% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Krahulik 18.1% 18.6% 17.9% 15.6% 11.5% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 9.7% 12.3% 14.1% 16.2% 14.2% 12.8% 9.4% 5.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Arthur Unger 6.8% 8.9% 10.9% 11.9% 12.0% 11.9% 11.7% 10.6% 7.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Timothy Verriere 1.9% 2.3% 3.7% 3.5% 5.0% 7.1% 7.5% 10.4% 11.7% 17.8% 18.1% 10.8%
Jack Meyer 3.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 7.7% 9.8% 11.2% 12.7% 14.1% 12.1% 10.0% 3.5%
Ian Casteel 2.9% 2.9% 3.7% 4.8% 6.5% 7.3% 9.2% 11.2% 13.8% 15.6% 14.9% 7.2%
Robert Scheer 7.7% 9.8% 11.5% 12.1% 12.8% 11.8% 14.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Dunning 5.7% 8.0% 8.8% 9.5% 12.4% 12.8% 12.7% 11.3% 10.0% 5.5% 3.0% 0.4%
Caidan Stecklein 2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.2% 8.8% 11.8% 14.7% 15.4% 13.2% 8.0%
Triston Haden 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 4.2% 6.0% 8.1% 15.9% 54.4%
Gretchen March 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.5% 6.1% 7.3% 9.8% 11.2% 15.3% 20.8% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.