Race 4B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joseph Dunning 6.0% 7.1% 8.6% 11.1% 11.8% 12.8% 12.8% 11.2% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 0.9%
Brett Pearson 38.6% 27.2% 17.6% 8.3% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Verriere 2.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 4.5% 6.3% 7.1% 11.0% 13.2% 15.6% 18.2% 11.4%
Sydney Krahulik 17.9% 19.4% 16.6% 16.2% 12.4% 8.1% 5.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Arthur Unger 6.8% 8.5% 9.7% 12.9% 11.9% 11.7% 13.2% 10.2% 8.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Cole Broberg 10.9% 13.2% 14.5% 14.4% 14.1% 11.8% 8.7% 6.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Caidan Stecklein 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 10.4% 12.4% 12.7% 14.7% 13.6% 7.2%
Jack Meyer 2.9% 4.7% 5.8% 6.2% 8.0% 10.3% 10.9% 12.2% 13.7% 12.5% 9.5% 3.4%
Robert Scheer 7.3% 7.6% 12.3% 10.5% 14.3% 13.5% 11.7% 9.8% 6.4% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Ian Casteel 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 5.0% 5.9% 8.1% 9.4% 12.3% 14.0% 15.2% 14.1% 7.1%
Gretchen March 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.3% 12.7% 15.2% 20.9% 16.2%
Triston Haden 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 4.5% 6.8% 8.2% 16.2% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.