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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.45+5.45vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-1.29+6.45vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.50-0.59vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-1.35+5.15vs Predicted
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5University of Oklahoma-0.39+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Kansas-0.14-0.18vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.14-2.18vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.47-1.41vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.70-5.15vs Predicted
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10University of Oklahoma-1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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11Rice University-0.23-4.93vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University-1.67-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.455.0%1st Place
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8.45Texas A&M University-1.293.1%1st Place
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2.41Texas A&M University at Galveston1.5036.5%1st Place
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9.15University of North Texas-1.351.4%1st Place
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6.38University of Oklahoma-0.397.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Kansas-0.146.5%1st Place
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4.82Texas A&M University0.1410.5%1st Place
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6.59Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.474.9%1st Place
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3.85Texas A&M University0.7016.4%1st Place
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8.48University of Oklahoma-1.272.2%1st Place
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6.07Rice University-0.235.5%1st Place
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9.53Texas A&M University-1.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Gomez | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Ian Casteel | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| Brett Pearson | 36.5% | 26.0% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Verriere | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 24.5% |
| Joseph Dunning | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Robert Scheer | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Cole Broberg | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jean-Luc Murray | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Sydney Krahulik | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caidan Stecklein | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| Arthur Unger | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Gretchen March | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.