Race 6B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brett Pearson 35.6% 27.4% 16.4% 10.0% 6.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Casteel 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 6.4% 6.6% 9.2% 11.9% 13.9% 18.1% 17.9%
Cole Broberg 9.4% 11.8% 13.0% 14.2% 12.2% 10.9% 10.7% 8.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Arthur Unger 6.8% 8.0% 10.0% 9.7% 10.8% 11.7% 10.9% 11.1% 8.8% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8%
Timothy Verriere 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 6.8% 6.8% 9.6% 14.6% 17.7% 24.4%
Robert Scheer 7.2% 7.8% 10.2% 10.8% 11.9% 10.4% 11.6% 10.9% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
Sydney Krahulik 17.9% 17.6% 16.0% 13.2% 12.8% 9.0% 6.3% 4.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Eduardo Gomez 5.8% 6.0% 6.8% 8.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 11.9% 11.5% 9.0% 7.0% 2.4%
Joseph Dunning 5.3% 5.8% 8.1% 9.6% 10.3% 11.5% 12.3% 10.9% 10.1% 8.6% 5.3% 2.2%
Jean-Luc Murray 5.2% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 9.0% 11.5% 10.8% 11.5% 11.7% 9.2% 6.4% 2.5%
Caidan Stecklein 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 7.5% 9.0% 12.1% 15.6% 17.6% 14.2%
Gretchen March 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 3.1% 4.0% 5.1% 6.3% 8.9% 11.9% 19.3% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.