← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Broberg 11.1% 11.8% 14.3% 14.7% 13.1% 10.8% 10.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Brett Pearson 39.0% 26.4% 15.7% 9.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Verriere 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 6.6% 7.5% 9.4% 13.2% 15.0% 18.8% 12.3%
Sydney Krahulik 17.1% 18.1% 18.2% 16.4% 12.0% 8.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Arthur Unger 6.8% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 13.2% 12.7% 12.0% 10.5% 8.2% 4.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Robert Scheer 6.4% 9.2% 11.9% 12.7% 11.7% 13.1% 10.3% 10.4% 7.6% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Jean-Luc Murray 4.9% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 10.8% 11.7% 13.0% 12.6% 10.2% 8.4% 3.8% 1.1%
Ian Casteel 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 8.9% 11.2% 14.2% 17.3% 15.2% 7.6%
Joseph Dunning 6.2% 6.9% 8.6% 9.9% 11.2% 12.4% 12.9% 12.3% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2%
Gretchen March 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 3.2% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.5% 11.8% 15.8% 23.5% 16.8%
Caidan Stecklein 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 9.5% 11.1% 15.3% 15.4% 13.9% 7.1%
Triston Haden 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 4.2% 5.7% 9.8% 17.1% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.