Race 8B

aggie-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Krahulik 16.9% 18.6% 18.8% 16.6% 11.8% 8.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 11.0% 11.8% 13.7% 12.6% 14.8% 12.4% 9.6% 7.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Timothy Verriere 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 6.4% 8.0% 9.2% 13.7% 16.8% 19.2% 11.2%
Brett Pearson 38.6% 27.1% 15.9% 9.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Unger 6.7% 8.2% 10.4% 10.3% 12.7% 12.3% 12.6% 11.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Joseph Dunning 4.7% 7.4% 7.5% 11.8% 11.1% 11.7% 12.2% 11.6% 9.8% 7.7% 3.6% 0.9%
Jean-Luc Murray 5.5% 5.9% 8.9% 9.1% 10.4% 10.8% 11.3% 13.4% 10.2% 7.2% 5.9% 1.2%
Robert Scheer 7.8% 9.3% 9.6% 12.0% 12.2% 13.7% 11.7% 10.4% 7.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Triston Haden 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 6.2% 8.9% 16.2% 54.4%
Caidan Stecklein 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 6.6% 6.6% 10.2% 10.8% 13.6% 15.8% 15.8% 6.3%
Gretchen March 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 7.3% 8.6% 10.9% 14.6% 21.1% 17.3%
Ian Casteel 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.9% 10.4% 14.8% 17.8% 13.8% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.