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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.22+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.17vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.02California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 43.6% | 28.9% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.1% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 7.9% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 21.0% | 23.0% | 23.7% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 26.7% | 19.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.