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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.31vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.82University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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4.03California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 41.7% | 28.8% | 18.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 22.2% | 24.0% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.8% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 6.7% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 25.4% | 19.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 52.3% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 10.4% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.