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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+6.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+6.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+6.76vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+3.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+4.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05-0.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-0.04vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-0.35vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.61-2.92vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-2.88vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-4.63vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.96vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-6.85vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.04-5.78vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.60-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Dartmouth College2.907.2%1st Place
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8.18Yale University2.927.6%1st Place
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9.79Roger Williams University2.405.4%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island2.784.0%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.057.4%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.756.4%1st Place
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9.65Boston College2.205.3%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University2.617.3%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.1%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College2.384.8%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston2.495.4%1st Place
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11.04University of Pennsylvania2.424.0%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University2.385.0%1st Place
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11.22Tulane University2.043.8%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.605.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% |
| Bridget Green | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.