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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.80+1.23vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.85+3.05vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.26-1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.33-0.60vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.72-0.10vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Purdue University0.8028.6%1st Place
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5.05Northwestern University-1.851.8%1st Place
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1.76Marquette University1.2650.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Minnesota-0.338.6%1st Place
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4.9Northwestern University-1.722.9%1st Place
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3.65Marquette University-0.638.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Childers | 28.6% | 36.9% | 20.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.8% | 2.5% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 27.9% | 47.6% |
| Eric Brieden | 50.1% | 29.6% | 15.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Johansen | 8.6% | 16.6% | 25.9% | 28.7% | 15.8% | 4.5% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 31.8% | 40.8% |
| Eva Paschke | 8.0% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 30.9% | 20.4% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.