Race 1A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Takata 26.2% 22.5% 16.1% 12.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 14.9% 17.1% 17.0% 12.8% 12.9% 10.4% 7.8% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Michael Reney 9.2% 7.7% 8.7% 11.9% 12.2% 14.7% 14.7% 11.2% 7.4% 2.3%
Sean Andrew 11.3% 12.7% 12.9% 14.0% 15.0% 11.4% 10.9% 7.0% 3.9% 0.9%
Billy Hines 11.1% 10.1% 10.1% 14.8% 13.7% 13.5% 10.9% 9.5% 4.9% 1.4%
Conor Lodge 16.9% 17.3% 15.3% 14.7% 12.3% 11.0% 7.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
Timothy Lorenzen 3.3% 4.2% 6.2% 6.9% 8.3% 10.4% 15.1% 15.6% 19.8% 10.2%
Stephanie Dowling 2.4% 2.5% 4.6% 3.9% 5.3% 7.4% 10.5% 15.1% 21.9% 26.4%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.3% 2.9% 4.6% 7.8% 12.0% 18.7% 44.8%
Sam Wyer 3.3% 4.3% 6.2% 5.2% 8.1% 10.0% 11.7% 18.1% 20.0% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.