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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+7.05vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+5.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+5.14vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.71vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+2.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20+0.89vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-0.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-3.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-2.25vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.49-4.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.60-5.49vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.04-4.79vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.90-8.84vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.40-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Stanford University2.617.9%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.2%1st Place
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8.83Brown University2.856.2%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.756.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Pennsylvania2.423.8%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.057.4%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.4%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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9.89Boston College2.204.6%1st Place
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9.37Cornell University2.385.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
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8.22Yale University2.926.7%1st Place
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10.75Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston2.496.3%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.605.1%1st Place
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11.21Tulane University2.043.2%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.907.7%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University2.405.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Bridget Green | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.