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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.82vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.82University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.99California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Irvine2.220.2%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 42.3% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 21.9% | 25.6% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 3.5% |
| Hanna Miller | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 25.3% | 18.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 15.2% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 6.9% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.3% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.