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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+7.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+6.01vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+7.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+6.78vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+3.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.67vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+2.80vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.47+1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78+1.80vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38+0.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.55vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-3.84vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-5.84vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.61-6.82vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-6.73vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.04-5.75vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University3.058.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Pennsylvania2.423.9%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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8.3Yale University2.926.3%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University2.404.8%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston2.475.5%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island2.783.9%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.384.2%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.7%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy2.606.3%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University2.754.8%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.907.7%1st Place
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8.18Stanford University2.617.0%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University2.386.1%1st Place
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11.25Tulane University2.043.8%1st Place
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9.56Boston College2.205.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Green | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Thad Lettsome | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.