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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.17vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.09California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 42.5% | 28.7% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 22.2% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 4.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.8% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 6.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 9.5% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 23.9% | 15.4% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 22.5% | 23.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.