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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+9.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.70vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.47+6.27vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+5.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+3.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+4.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40+1.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.64vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-1.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-2.07vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-3.72vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-2.65vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.28-4.04vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-7.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-6.36vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-7.61vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.78-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Boston College2.205.1%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.3%1st Place
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9.27College of Charleston2.475.2%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.756.4%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.906.2%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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11.17University of Pennsylvania2.423.1%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University2.405.4%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.6%1st Place
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8.64Yale University2.925.5%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University2.617.4%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
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9.96Tulane University2.284.5%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University3.058.5%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.605.0%1st Place
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9.39Cornell University2.385.8%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island2.784.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Bridget Green | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.