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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+8.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+6.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+3.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+4.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60+2.57vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.28+1.79vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75+0.04vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-2.04vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.61-2.83vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.47-2.76vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-2.68vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-4.12vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-6.10vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.96vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.78-6.17vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Boston College2.204.9%1st Place
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8.53Yale University2.926.4%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.3%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.8%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.907.1%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.605.9%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University2.285.5%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University2.755.7%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University3.058.3%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University2.617.6%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston2.476.5%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.384.6%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.404.7%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.855.9%1st Place
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11.04University of Pennsylvania2.424.2%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.783.8%1st Place
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9.41Cornell University2.385.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% |
| Bridget Green | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.