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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.22+2.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.17vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.270.5%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.09California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hobson | 14.3% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 9.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 45.0% | 25.9% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 21.3% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 25.1% | 15.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.6% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 22.7% | 23.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 21.8% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.