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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.06vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Irvine2.220.2%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.04California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 41.7% | 28.5% | 18.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 22.3% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 15.1% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 7.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 9.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 15.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 53.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 25.0% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.