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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine2.22+2.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.19vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.270.5%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.02California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hobson | 14.1% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 9.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 45.0% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 21.1% | 24.8% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 27.6% | 18.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.7% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.