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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+9.96vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+6.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+7.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+4.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+3.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.02vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+0.69vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+2.60vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38+0.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-0.03vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-2.91vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-2.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.37vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.28-4.19vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-5.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-6.48vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.49-7.66vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University2.617.4%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island2.784.5%1st Place
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8.39Yale University2.927.0%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.855.9%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.2%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University3.059.1%1st Place
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10.6Bowdoin College2.384.2%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University2.385.7%1st Place
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9.97Boston College2.204.5%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College2.907.0%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.756.5%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
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9.81Tulane University2.284.5%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.405.8%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy2.606.0%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston2.495.6%1st Place
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10.99University of Pennsylvania2.423.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% |
| Bridget Green | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.