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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.22+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.86vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.11California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 43.3% | 28.5% | 16.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.9% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 8.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 20.5% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 48.5% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 22.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 10.0% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 24.9% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.