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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.84vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.84University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.09California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 41.9% | 29.2% | 18.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 22.8% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.3% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 6.6% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 47.5% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 23.1% | 23.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 9.9% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 23.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.