Race 2A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Takata 26.8% 22.2% 15.6% 13.6% 8.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Sean Andrew 10.8% 13.4% 14.0% 13.0% 13.3% 11.9% 11.9% 6.9% 3.2% 1.6%
Billy Hines 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 12.3% 14.1% 14.4% 13.7% 9.0% 4.8% 1.1%
Christopher Poole 15.3% 15.8% 15.9% 16.0% 13.2% 10.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Michael Reney 10.2% 8.0% 9.5% 11.1% 13.3% 14.3% 13.7% 10.6% 7.0% 2.3%
Stephanie Dowling 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 5.8% 5.7% 10.0% 14.7% 23.9% 25.8%
Sam Wyer 3.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 10.9% 12.6% 19.3% 18.6% 13.7%
Timothy Lorenzen 4.0% 4.3% 6.7% 6.5% 8.0% 12.1% 13.1% 16.3% 18.4% 10.6%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 3.3% 4.0% 7.5% 12.4% 19.9% 44.0%
Conor Lodge 15.3% 17.4% 15.9% 14.8% 13.2% 9.7% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.