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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.01+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22-0.69vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.85vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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4.15California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 20.3% | 25.4% | 21.8% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 47.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 15.4% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.0% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 15.9% | 7.6% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 26.8% | 23.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 44.0% | 25.6% | 18.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.