Race 14A

atlantic-coast-open-finals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lachlain McGranahan 9.4% 8.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.1% 6.3% 5.1% 5.1% 4.7% 3.2% 3.3% 1.5%
Colman Schofield 6.2% 6.6% 5.8% 5.0% 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 5.1% 6.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.8% 6.4% 6.3% 7.3%
Teddy Nicolosi 8.8% 7.0% 8.6% 6.9% 6.3% 7.0% 6.0% 6.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.2% 5.5% 6.1% 4.5% 4.7% 2.4%
Jordan Bruce 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.5% 5.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.6% 12.2%
Kyle Pfrang 5.3% 6.0% 5.6% 6.1% 6.0% 6.2% 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% 5.4% 6.6% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3%
Connor Nelson 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 5.7% 6.8% 5.9% 6.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 4.0%
Mariner Fagan 6.3% 7.3% 7.8% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.2% 5.1% 4.3%
Trevor Davis 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 5.5% 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 8.0% 6.5% 8.2% 10.1% 11.7%
Sam Bruce 5.9% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 5.0% 5.9% 7.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 6.2%
Nathan Smith 5.9% 5.8% 8.1% 6.2% 5.7% 5.8% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 5.9% 6.5% 5.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5%
Kerem Erkmen 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% 5.7% 4.8% 5.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 6.8% 8.0% 8.2% 11.3%
Robert Bragg 8.1% 6.2% 7.4% 8.2% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 6.8% 5.2% 5.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.1%
Bridget Green 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.9% 6.1% 7.5% 5.7% 6.1% 7.9% 5.9% 5.4% 5.8% 5.3%
Michelle Lahrkamp 8.6% 8.5% 7.0% 8.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 7.4% 6.6% 5.8% 4.5% 4.5% 3.8% 3.2% 2.6%
Michael Kirkman 5.2% 5.8% 5.7% 4.7% 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 6.0% 6.8% 6.1% 5.8% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 8.0%
Kelly Holthus 5.0% 6.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 7.1% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.