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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+1.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.85vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.69-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.270.5%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.1California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 20.0% | 26.4% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 45.0% | 25.3% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 14.3% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 7.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 21.3% | 47.7% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 25.0% | 22.3% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 23.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.