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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+4.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+5.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+5.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.29+5.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.59vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.35+3.37vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.15-0.91vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+4.32vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.38+0.47vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.40-0.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-3.52vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.91-6.35vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-2.50vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-6.09vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.16-6.78vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.96-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Harvard University3.1812.4%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.757.8%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University2.687.8%1st Place
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9.69Yale University2.294.4%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy2.043.9%1st Place
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9.37Tulane University2.354.7%1st Place
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6.09Stanford University3.1511.1%1st Place
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12.32Bowdoin College2.032.2%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston2.385.5%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.405.2%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.224.7%1st Place
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7.65Brown University2.918.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Rhode Island1.612.5%1st Place
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9.91Boston College2.565.2%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania2.163.7%1st Place
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11.11Cornell University1.962.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Miles Williams | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.