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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+2.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+1.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.50+6.19vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19-1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64+0.82vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+2.83vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.22-0.03vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.64+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+0.77vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.89+0.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley2.12-4.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-0.31vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-0.14-0.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.42-2.34vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.44vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.36-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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3.79Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.17Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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3.14Stanford University4.190.3%1st Place
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6.82University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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9.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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7.97Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.78California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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8.13California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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14.99California Poly Maritime Academy-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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14.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 18.8% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 16.0% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 12.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 26.4% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ray Carley | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Travis Benton | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shaw | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
| Michael Midgley | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 24.8% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 10.7% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.